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Market wraps 15th October 2025

Morning Bell - Max Lo Certo

The US saw a volatile trading session overnight ultimately end mixed across the 3 major benchmarks. The S&P500 closed down 0.2% and the Nasdaq closed down 0.8%, although they had fallen as low as 1.5 and 2.1% throughout the day. The Dow Jones despite opening down 1.3% rallied to close up 0.4% - the volatility comes amid continuing trade tensions between the US and China.  

Europe too saw a mostly a negative session ovvernight. The STOXX 600 fell 0.4%, Germany’s DAX lost 0.62%, the French CAC fell 0.18% and the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.1%. 

Across the Asia region on Tuesday, markets closed mostly lower as China’s Ministry of Commerce sanctioned five US-related units of Hanwha Marine Corporation in direct retaliation to the US’ investigation of Chinese maritime, logistics and shipbuilding industries in a step backward in the trade negotiations. Japan’s Nikkei fell 2.58% on Tuesday, while China’s CSI index lost 1.12%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.74% and India’s Nifty 50 ended the day down 0.55%. 

The local market traded lower on Tuesday before closing the session up 0.2% as US-China trade negotiations showed signs of progression on Monday, Middle East tensions continued to ease, and the AI rally marched on in the US. 

NAB Business Confidence data for September came in at a rise to 7 index points for last month, up from 4 points in August, but short of the 9 points the market was expecting a rise to. The small rise though signals greater optimism from a business perspective in Australia following a mostly negative year on the sentiment front for businesses in FY25.

Australian consumer confidence on the other hand weighed on the market gains yesterday as the latest ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey unveiled sentiment weakened in October to a 1-year low.

What to watch today:

  • On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 1.22% lower at US$58.83/barrel, gold is up 0.43% at US$4145/ounce and iron ore is up 0.75% at US$106.53/tonne.
  • Ahead of Wednesday’s trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day up 0.83%.

Trading Ideas:

  • Bell Potter maintains its Buy rating on Uranium producer Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) and has raised its target price from $10.30 to $11.35, off the back of record Q1 FY25 production as well as steady increases in the average realised Uranium price. 
  • And Trading Central have identified a bullish signal on CSL (ASX:CSL), indicating that the price may rise from the current close of $211 to the price range of $228-232 over a period of 37 days, according to the standard principles of technical analysis. 

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